Understanding American Foreign Policy

Pres. Bush's Popularity and Sept. 11, 2001:

The Rally 'Round the Flag Effect

a resource for student reference prepared by

Gordon L. Bowen, Ph.D.
Professor,
Political Science and International Relations disciplines
Mary Baldwin College
Staunton, VA USA 24401

email: gbowen@mbc.edu


General Propositions: The Rally 'Round the Flag Effect. Presidential popularity, as measured by poll responses to "do you approve or disapprove of the job the president is doing," tends to rise during international crises, especially when presidents act in response to dramatic international events.  When presidential popularity rises, disapproval of Presidential job performance falls.  This "rally round the flag syndrome" has occurred in response to the events of Sept. 11, as is clearly illustrated in the chart below.
 

Key: Orange upper line above: percent responding "approve" to the question "Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pres. George Bush is handling his job?" ; Blue lower line above: percent responding "disapprove" to the question.  Dates of polls and sources for the polls are listed below.
 


Sources:
Technical Information:
Polls done by various organizations (enumerated below).  All polls accessed through the Reference option of Lexis Nexis, as coordinated by the Roper Center (University of Connecticut).
 
Organization and presentation done by Prof. Gordon L. Bowen, Mary Baldwin College, Staunton VA 24401;
 
contact: gbowen@mbc.edu

 
Data for Presidential Job Approval Ratings chart (above) come from 2001 polls done on:

for interesting related discussion of this rally, see:

Marc J. Hetherington and Michael Nelson, "Anatomy of a Rally Effect: George W. Bush and the War on Terrorism," PS: Political Science and Politics (Jan. 2003).


Another good source for public opinion information about foreign policy is:

 


This Page last modified March 16, 2004



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